JJ在翻前遇到3bet怎么办?(牌局分析)

JJ在翻前遇到3bet怎么办?(牌局分析

牌局背景及过程

这手牌来自一场无限德州扑克锦标赛。当时盲注500/1000,前注100。桌上玩家筹码量如图所示。翻前,你在枪口位置用J♥ J♦率先加注到2100,随后一名中间位置玩家3bet到3200,其余玩家弃牌。现在轮到你行动,你会如何行动?

职业牌手的解析

一般而言,像JJ、TT这样的中等对子在面对3bet时4bet全压而不是跟注更好打,因为它们对抗合理的3bet范围有大量胜率,但难以在翻后实现其底池权益。这很大程度上是因为它们在出现高牌的翻牌面不能从被打败的牌那儿获取价值。但是,对手在这里的范围令我们担忧,这个范围往往紧到有必要跟注而不是全压。

在这里对最小再加注弃牌绝对是个错误,因为我们为了游戏一个8800筹码的底池只需要跟注1100筹码。这意味着我们的跟注只需要12.5%的胜率(1100/8800)。这个胜率是完全可达到的,因为我们对抗假想的对手合理范围(无诈唬牌,由强牌构成的线性价值下注范围)有超过35%的胜率,且对抗由KK+组成的超强范围也有约20%胜率。

真正的问题是,我们能否根据这个最小再加注对对手的范围的狭窄程度做足够准确的推断,并将我们的策略从全压改变成跟注。对手的范围越狭窄,我们越应该跟注而不是全压。一些对手常常只用AA、KK这样的强牌做这种尺度的再加注。偶尔这是一手弱很多的跟注牌误击了“再加注”按钮。

然而,我们其实在枪口位置只有18BB筹码,而中间位置的对手也只有20BB筹码。

作为对抗超强范围的一种剥削性调整,我们可以跟注且只在翻后改进时(拿到暗三条或带顺子听牌的高对)继续游戏。

如果我们认为对手的范围比超强牌稍宽一点,但仍然偏重于价值牌,我们可以跟注,且只在不包括A、K、Q的翻牌面继续游戏。

如果我们认为对手的再加注范围比强价值范围宽,那么我们应该在翻前再加注到全压。

总之,对抗大多数对手,跟注是最好的玩法。

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