激进无畏的K-10无牌诈唬 牌局解析
这是在2014年WSOP(World Series of Poker 世界扑克系列赛)“一滴水”超级慈善赛上发生的一局非常经典的成功诈唬,两位主人公Rick Salomon和Christoph Vogelsang都是世界一流的扑克玩家。本文将逐轮分析两位牌手每一次下注前的心理和思考,这样的打法在很多资深玩家之间已经是相对常见的一种博弈,但是初学者却可以从中学到不少技巧。牌局图片
牌局回顾比赛盲注为17级(120K/240K),Ante为40K。UTG+1位Rick Salomon持K♥-10♥首先加注525K,小盲位Christoph Vogelsang 持A♠-K♠ 3bet加至1450K,Salomon跟注。公共牌翻出6♣-Q♠-5♥,双方都没有收获,各自让牌。转牌开出8♠,Vogelsang让牌,Salomon加注1525K,Vogelsang跟注。河牌翻出5♣,Vogelsang让牌,Salomon再加注3100K,Vogelsang弃牌。
牌局解析这是一局德扑俱乐部非常漂亮的成功诈唬,Salomon在UTG+1位拿到K♥-10♥,是一个不错的手牌,所以他选择首先加注525K吓走手持小牌的玩家。一番弃牌后轮到Vogelsang,他的手牌同样非常出众,A♠-K♠,同样可以拼同花、顺子等多种牌型,而且他的手牌还有A高牌,什么都没有拼到的话也还有A高优势,所以Vogelsang略作思考之后选择加注到1450K,同样希望是吓走小牌。此时双方的胜率之比约为Vogelsang 70.32% :Salomon 28.53%,Vogelsang 的A高牌让他获得了暂时的领先优势。
公共牌翻出6♣-Q♠-5♥
双方都没有直接的牌力增长,小盲Vogelsang首先让牌,一则自己没有明显收获,二则试试看对手是不是在这一轮中有所收获。Salomon同样没有收获,而且可能是对Vogelsang可能进行引诱下注有所顾虑,所以他同样选择让牌。
转牌翻出8♠
双方再次没有明显收获。但在这一轮开牌中,Vogelsang 获得了听黑桃同花的潜在收获,只要他能在河牌再翻出一张黑桃就能拼成A高坚果同花。但毕竟只是潜在收获,河牌也有可能翻不到黑桃,所以Vogelsang 选择稳妥的让牌。
Salomon这时候开动了小心思,场上现在的牌还是比较微妙,虽然自己什么都没有获得,但5-6-8可以用来进行顺子诈唬,而且从Vogelsang的两轮下注情况来看,他目前也可能只是在德州游戏,或者有可能是击中底对或者中对。虽然还不能排除Vogelsang利用两轮让牌引诱下注的情况,但历来喜欢激进无畏风格的Salomon并不打算放弃这次诈唬的机会,而且本身自己的筹码也比较多,有筹码优势,所以他选择加注1525K,希望能诈走Vogelsang,同时也为后面的继续诈唬做铺垫。
回到Vogelsang这边,看到Salomon加注,Vogelsang 压力骤增,虽然对手有可能是诈唬,但更多的可能是对方手上真的有牌,也许是一个对子,不过就算是一个小对子也够自己难受的了。但直接弃牌又实在太过可惜,自己在这一轮中虽然没有直接的牌力增长,但黑桃牌也让自己获得了听A高坚果同花的机会。目前所知已经有4张黑桃牌,也就是说自己还有9张黑桃牌可以听,而且就算没听到同花,如果能翻出A或者K这样的大牌,那自己的手牌牌力将能有一个不错的增长,应该可以压过对手的对子,黑桃牌加上AK一共有13张牌可以听,值得一试,所以他选择跟注1525K。
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