德州扑克起手牌赢率总结

德州扑克起手牌赢率总结

德州扑克前40手起手牌的一些统计数字

起手牌 Cards 赢的概率 Probability of Win 平均收益 Average Win 期望值 Expected Value 获牌机率 Probability
Pair of A’s 31.36% 9.91 2.1071 0.45%
Pair of K’s 26.43% 9.87 1.6079 0.45%
Pair of Q’s 22.66% 9.81 1.2224 0.45%
A/K suited 21.73% 9.52 1.0688 0.3%
Pair of J’s 19.84% 9.74 0.9318 0.45%
A/Q suited 20.44% 9.41 0.9239 0.3%
K/Q suited 19.8% 9.41 0.8639 0.3%
A/J suited 19.51% 9.31 0.8159 0.3%
K/J suited 18.94% 9.31 0.7636 0.3%
A/T suited 18.87% 9.2 0.7353 0.3%
Q/J suited 18.55% 9.28 0.7217 0.3%
A/K unsuited 18.29% 9.41 0.7209 0.9%
Pair of T’s 17.76% 9.65 0.7145 0.45%
K/T suited 18.34% 9.21 0.689 0.3%
Q/T suited 18.04% 9.19 0.6577 0.3%
J/T suited 18.07% 9.16 0.6552 0.3%
Pair of 9’s 16.05% 9.69 0.5559 0.45%
A/Q unsuited 16.78% 9.26 0.5539 0.9%
A/9 suited 16.87% 9.12 0.5377 0.3%
K/Q unsuited 16.3% 9.26 0.5098 0.9%
K/9 suited 16.22% 9.16 0.4854 0.3%
T/9 suited 16.33% 9.09 0.485 0.3%
A/8 suited 16.34% 9.03 0.4756 0.3%
J/9 suited 15.96% 9.12 0.4561 0.3%
Q/9 suited 15.89% 9.14 0.4527 0.3%
Pair of 8’s 14.96% 9.67 0.4471 0.45%
A/5 suited 16.23% 8.9 0.4447 0.3%
A/J unsuited 15.7% 9.1 0.4291 0.9%
A/7 suited 15.93% 8.96 0.4272 0.3%
A/4 suited 15.88% 8.94 0.4205 0.3%
A/3 suited 15.51% 9 0.3957 0.3%
K/J unsuited 15.3% 9.11 0.3944 0.9%
A/6 suited 15.62% 8.91 0.3916 0.3%
Q/J unsuited 15.07% 9.08 0.3687 0.9%
Pair of 7’s 14.14% 9.65 0.3647 0.45%
A/2 suited 15.02% 9.04 0.3579 0.3%
K/8 suited 15.03% 9.03 0.3568 0.3%
T/8 suited 15.05% 9 0.3556 0.3%
9/8 suited 14.69% 9.11 0.3388 0.3%
A/T unsuited 14.93% 8.94 0.3353 0.9%

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德州扑克游戏过程中的概率

玩德州扑克过程中,一副牌形成的可能性有多大,对你下一步采取什么样的行动至关重要。一副牌形成的可能性有多大可以用成牌概率来计算。形成同花或顺子的机会有多大,拿到一张大牌的可能性有多少,当你手中握有一对时,悬牌形成三张同号的百分比为几,这些概率学上的知识对于德州扑克一轮牌的输赢非常关键,这些概率的计算决定你下一步是下注,跟注,加注还是弃牌。

下表列出了德州扑克游戏过程中经常用到的一些概率术语

补牌总数 Outs 未知牌中可以完成你一副特定牌型的牌数“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,在未知牌中我有9张补牌(9张红桃牌)完成我的红桃同花”
成牌概率Hand Odds 形成一手特定牌型的概率“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,我完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1”
总注概率 Pot Odds 你下一步所下赌注与桌面上总赌注的百分比 “桌面上总赌注已达$200,我只要下$10赌注就可以进入下一轮,如果我能完成我的顺子,赌注概率对我非常有利。
下注概率 Bet Odds 你下注以后,根据后面跟注玩家的人数而计算出的一种输赢概率 “我有五分之一的机会赢这手牌,我下注以后,有6个玩家会跟注,下注概率对我有利”
隐含概率 Implied Odds 通过猜测其它玩家下一步所采取的行动而计算出的一种输赢概率 “我猜测这些玩家在看到转牌与河牌之后都会跟注,因此隐含概率对我非常有利”

下面举一个简单的例子,说明这些概率知识的重要性:

转牌翻开以后,你有四张红桃,你完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1,你相信同花会赢这轮牌,而这时的总赌注为$200,你只要再跟注$20就可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比200,即为十分之一,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$200,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你1次赢钱的总数远大于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要跟牌而不是弃牌。

反过来,如果这时的总赌注为$60,而你要跟注$20才可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比60,即为3分之1,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$60,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你一次赢钱的总数小于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要弃牌而不是跟牌。

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