德州扑克起手牌赢率总结
德州扑克起手牌赢率总结
德州扑克前40手起手牌的一些统计数字
| 起手牌 Cards | 赢的概率 Probability of Win | 平均收益 Average Win | 期望值 Expected Value | 获牌机率 Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pair of A’s | 31.36% | 9.91 | 2.1071 | 0.45% |
| Pair of K’s | 26.43% | 9.87 | 1.6079 | 0.45% |
| Pair of Q’s | 22.66% | 9.81 | 1.2224 | 0.45% |
| A/K suited | 21.73% | 9.52 | 1.0688 | 0.3% |
| Pair of J’s | 19.84% | 9.74 | 0.9318 | 0.45% |
| A/Q suited | 20.44% | 9.41 | 0.9239 | 0.3% |
| K/Q suited | 19.8% | 9.41 | 0.8639 | 0.3% |
| A/J suited | 19.51% | 9.31 | 0.8159 | 0.3% |
| K/J suited | 18.94% | 9.31 | 0.7636 | 0.3% |
| A/T suited | 18.87% | 9.2 | 0.7353 | 0.3% |
| Q/J suited | 18.55% | 9.28 | 0.7217 | 0.3% |
| A/K unsuited | 18.29% | 9.41 | 0.7209 | 0.9% |
| Pair of T’s | 17.76% | 9.65 | 0.7145 | 0.45% |
| K/T suited | 18.34% | 9.21 | 0.689 | 0.3% |
| Q/T suited | 18.04% | 9.19 | 0.6577 | 0.3% |
| J/T suited | 18.07% | 9.16 | 0.6552 | 0.3% |
| Pair of 9’s | 16.05% | 9.69 | 0.5559 | 0.45% |
| A/Q unsuited | 16.78% | 9.26 | 0.5539 | 0.9% |
| A/9 suited | 16.87% | 9.12 | 0.5377 | 0.3% |
| K/Q unsuited | 16.3% | 9.26 | 0.5098 | 0.9% |
| K/9 suited | 16.22% | 9.16 | 0.4854 | 0.3% |
| T/9 suited | 16.33% | 9.09 | 0.485 | 0.3% |
| A/8 suited | 16.34% | 9.03 | 0.4756 | 0.3% |
| J/9 suited | 15.96% | 9.12 | 0.4561 | 0.3% |
| Q/9 suited | 15.89% | 9.14 | 0.4527 | 0.3% |
| Pair of 8’s | 14.96% | 9.67 | 0.4471 | 0.45% |
| A/5 suited | 16.23% | 8.9 | 0.4447 | 0.3% |
| A/J unsuited | 15.7% | 9.1 | 0.4291 | 0.9% |
| A/7 suited | 15.93% | 8.96 | 0.4272 | 0.3% |
| A/4 suited | 15.88% | 8.94 | 0.4205 | 0.3% |
| A/3 suited | 15.51% | 9 | 0.3957 | 0.3% |
| K/J unsuited | 15.3% | 9.11 | 0.3944 | 0.9% |
| A/6 suited | 15.62% | 8.91 | 0.3916 | 0.3% |
| Q/J unsuited | 15.07% | 9.08 | 0.3687 | 0.9% |
| Pair of 7’s | 14.14% | 9.65 | 0.3647 | 0.45% |
| A/2 suited | 15.02% | 9.04 | 0.3579 | 0.3% |
| K/8 suited | 15.03% | 9.03 | 0.3568 | 0.3% |
| T/8 suited | 15.05% | 9 | 0.3556 | 0.3% |
| 9/8 suited | 14.69% | 9.11 | 0.3388 | 0.3% |
| A/T unsuited | 14.93% | 8.94 | 0.3353 | 0.9% |
德州扑克游戏过程中的概率
玩德州扑克过程中，一副牌形成的可能性有多大，对你下一步采取什么样的行动至关重要。一副牌形成的可能性有多大可以用成牌概率来计算。形成同花或顺子的机会有多大，拿到一张大牌的可能性有多少，当你手中握有一对时，悬牌形成三张同号的百分比为几，这些概率学上的知识对于德州扑克一轮牌的输赢非常关键，这些概率的计算决定你下一步是下注，跟注，加注还是弃牌。
下表列出了德州扑克游戏过程中经常用到的一些概率术语
| 补牌总数 Outs | 未知牌中可以完成你一副特定牌型的牌数“转牌翻开以后，我有四张红桃，在未知牌中我有9张补牌(9张红桃牌)完成我的红桃同花” |
|---|---|
| 成牌概率Hand Odds | 形成一手特定牌型的概率“转牌翻开以后，我有四张红桃，我完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47，大约为5分之1” |
| 总注概率 Pot Odds | 你下一步所下赌注与桌面上总赌注的百分比 “桌面上总赌注已达$200，我只要下$10赌注就可以进入下一轮，如果我能完成我的顺子，赌注概率对我非常有利。 |
| 下注概率 Bet Odds | 你下注以后，根据后面跟注玩家的人数而计算出的一种输赢概率 “我有五分之一的机会赢这手牌，我下注以后，有6个玩家会跟注，下注概率对我有利” |
| 隐含概率 Implied Odds | 通过猜测其它玩家下一步所采取的行动而计算出的一种输赢概率 “我猜测这些玩家在看到转牌与河牌之后都会跟注，因此隐含概率对我非常有利” |
下面举一个简单的例子，说明这些概率知识的重要性：
转牌翻开以后，你有四张红桃，你完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47，大约为5分之1，你相信同花会赢这轮牌，而这时的总赌注为$200，你只要再跟注$20就可以看到河牌，总注概率为20比200，即为十分之一，这就是说，如果出现5次这种情况，你赢1次输4次，你赢一次的钱为$200，而你输4次的钱总数为$80，你1次赢钱的总数远大于你4次输钱的总数，因此这种情况下你一定要跟牌而不是弃牌。
反过来，如果这时的总赌注为$60，而你要跟注$20才可以看到河牌，总注概率为20比60，即为3分之1，这就是说，如果出现5次这种情况，你赢1次输4次，你赢一次的钱为$60，而你输4次的钱总数为$80，你一次赢钱的总数小于你4次输钱的总数，因此这种情况下你一定要弃牌而不是跟牌。
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