德扑“听牌”的基本打法和成牌概率上篇

今天要解答的是粉丝“为你唱首歌”关于听牌打法的疑问。“听牌”是德扑中让人欢喜让人忧的情况,看上去充满希望,结局却不一定每次都能美梦成真。看完本文,相信大家以后再遇到听牌就知道该怎么处理了。“听牌”(Draw,北美华裔牌手喜欢用谐音称之为“兆”牌),是指玩家的底牌与公共牌组合出差1张成牌的牌型,大多时候是指“听顺”、“听花”。

由于德扑游戏中,大多数玩家喜欢选择AA、KK、AK这类比较强的底牌来参与游戏,翻牌后大多成为“123” (指包括超对、顶对的1对、所有2对和3条牌型)。有些玩家开始选择包括“ATs、98s”(s代表同一花色)这类的底牌入局,希望通过命中同花、顺子来击败“123”,但是直接在翻牌成为同花、顺子的机会很小,反而经常成为听牌。大多时候“123”的对手都会做出加注,这时候如何处理好听牌,就成了非常关键的技术了。

1 关于“听牌”玩家必须要先有以下几个观念:

  1. “听牌”本身还不是成牌,应该优先考虑以最低代价看牌;
  2. “听牌”命中的概率其实不如大家想象中那么高;
  3. “听牌”需要精确的期望值计算;
  4. “听牌”目标是成为坚果,如果听的只是小顺、小花,不但听牌的价值会降低,也可能遭遇更大的顺子同花。 特别强调:本文仅适用于国内德扑网游的标准局(俗称:散场局、Cash),有些内容或许并不适合现场或线上。

2 关于“听牌”的统计数据

1. 翻牌后成为听牌的机会

(注:s代表同一花色,o代表不同花色)

2. 翻牌听牌在转牌成牌的概率

3. 常见的翻牌听牌

一旦成为听牌的时候,第一优先考虑的是对手,然后是大小、位置、筹码量,根据来做出决策。

德州“听牌”的基本打法和成牌概率中篇:https://www.moshike.com/a/562.html

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