德扑中bluff是什么意思?用案例的下篇来告诉你
转牌(turn):J♦
对牌面基本没影响,大部分的时候Mader已经是听死了,除了少量的AA/KK,和A♦Q♦,K♦Q♦,QJ对set还有outs,Ivey既然选择了flop check raise,这里不太可能停下来的,果然他继续下注35000。
Mader这里又增加了一手输的牌QJ,不过他也不愿意就此放弃德扑圈APP,他希望Ivey如果是bluff的话,能在他两次跟注后放弃river的下注,但是他隐约感到自己的牌已经不太行了,他选择继续跟注,pot 124400.
河牌(river):Q♦
Ivey成了full-house(葫芦),同时牌面还完成了后门同花,考虑到Mader转牌跟注的range(范围),这里可以排除他持有A♦Q♦和K♦Q♦的可能了,不过AA/KK和AQ/KQ还是有相当大的可能性,同时小概率QJ成了坚果,至于慢打的77和很小概率的QQ,应该不太会在Ivey考虑的范围内。Ivey计划碰到能赢他的牌反正也不准备fold了,而对上他能击败的牌,他需要得到足额的支付,他想了下宣布超pot all in。
河牌的Q让Mader成了三条,看起来他德扑的牌力增强了,然而从flop以来的线路来看,这个Q♦更大可能是帮助到了Ivey(如果Ivey在river之前是落后的话),为什么这么说?Ivey在flop check raise的range里,成牌无非是77/44,74,Qx,这些牌除了74以外,转牌河牌的牌对双方牌力基本没有改变(除了QJ),而Ivey有可能连续用来semi-bluff的range,非常有可能是8♦6♦,6♦5♦这两手牌,恰好是河牌的Q♦使其完成了后门同花。
在所有Ivey的value range(价值范围)中,最差也就是KQ了,而Ivey几乎是不可能在bluff的,虽然淘汰Ivey会成为Mader一辈子的谈资,不过他还是忍住了,尽管有些不舍,最后还是选择了正确的弃牌。最终Mader在本场比赛中拿到了43名的好成绩,而Ivey并没有打入钱圈。
4
作者语
Mader最终能够取得43名,和这把“Hero fold”有很大的关系,这个底池他投入将近1/4的筹码,最后又有淘汰德扑游戏巨星的诱惑,不过Mader还是作了一个精彩的弃牌。
很多选手有一个比较大的缺点,就是不愿放弃大牌,但这局牌就是一个很好的例子,Mader在river是三条,可以说是很强的牌,但是他从整个逻辑来分析,这里的KQ和88实际上区别不大,只能用作抓bluff了,而这条线路下,Ivey bluff的可能性几乎为0,所以不要被自己的牌力迷惑了双眼,有时Ahigh可以call,有时三条必须弃(甚至是full-house也可以弃)。
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